UPDATE: Welcome Patrick.net readers! Thanks for the link. Patrick, one of the original housing bubble blogs, is still rocking while contemporary HousingPANIC has gone out with a face plant.
Options it has examined in the past:Again let's help those who can't afford so that those that can afford can't buy? Sounds like a plan your heinousness.
The first is the most likely because the second two are expensive for taxpayers, say Barclays analysts Nicholas Strand and Derek Chen. The upside to the second two is that they would alter refinanceability for borrowers more substantially.
- helping more underwater borrowers refinance through the HARP program
- waiving reps and warranties for banks
- a so-called nuclear option of offering a 4% rate to all qualifying, existing borrowers (a government commitment to offering borrowers a set mortgage rate)
But that's ok Chairman, I can wait. As much as you hate renters this still isn't going to get me in the game because when it finally crashes I'll probably be able to buy a home with the cash I have stuffed in my mattress. That or we go all hyperinflation like WC suggests, in which case I'm headed to Brazil anyway and don't have to worry about leaving anything behind.
Greenspan's Body Count is just the tip of the iceberg.
The threat of losing your home is stressful enough to make you ill, it stands to reason. Now two economists have measured just how unhealthy the foreclosure crisis has been in some of the hardest-hit areas of the U.S.
New research by Janet Currie of Princeton University and Erdal Tekin of Georgia State University shows a direct correlation between foreclosure rates and the health of residents in Arizona, California, Florida and New Jersey. The economists concluded in a paper published this month by the National Bureau of Economic Research that an increase of 100 foreclosures corresponded to a 7.2% rise in emergency room visits and hospitalizations for hypertension, and an 8.1% increase for diabetes, among people aged 20 to 49.
Each rise of 100 foreclosures was also associated with 12% more visits related to anxiety in the same age category. And the same rise in foreclosures was associated with 39% more visits for suicide attempts among the same group, though this still represents a small number of patients, the researchers say.
Meet Sloane Briles. First, a little background:
Family court filings showed Briles lost his job in the mortgage industry in 2007 and got another job, but was injured and drew worker's compensation. He successfully petitioned to get his child support obligation reduced and tried for a second reduction, which his ex-wife, Christin, opposed.
"If he truly wanted to support his boys he would find a job," she wrote in the filing. She also wrote that Briles sees the boys only on his weekends and rarely calls them during his off weeks.
And now, the rest of the story:
It was a pleasant afternoon aboard a sightseeing cruise around scenic Newport Harbor until the unthinkable happened — a man threw his crying 7-year-old son overboard during an argument in front of shocked passengers, authorities said.
Sloane Briles, 35, was taken into custody for child endangerment and resisting arrest, Orange County sheriff's spokesman Jim Amormino said.
"The father hit him several times and then threatened to throw him overboard if he didn't stop crying," Amormino said. "The crowd on the boat became very angry at the father for hitting the kid and extremely angry when he threw him overboard."
I don't think there's going to be any unsupervised visitation for Mr. Briles in the near future. In fact, Mr. Briles may be getting a new roommate who can teach him a thing or two about bullying.
Yves titles her post "The Wages of Destroying Labor Bargaining Power: Nearly 30% of Job Losses Due to Management Cutting Pie in Favor of Capital."
Unfortunately, most prescriptions from the left would seem to make the problem worse: more unionization, more rigid and expensive labor, more open-ended liabilities for every worker hired. All that only accelerates the incentives for offshoring and automation. You'd think the left didn't understand incentives or something.
You know we're not going to let this one go without playing "Who Made Who." Turn up your speakers to 11!
-- Google search bringing traffic to the W.C. Varones blog, originating from the Villages at Gainesville, a Florida retirement home.
-- Say Uncle
It amazes me to hear stories of East Coast stores sold out of flashlights, batteries, water... does no one plan ahead even in this slow-motion economic collapse?
Don't tell me you're going to be caught unarmed in the zombie apocalypse.
Here's the embedded video:
I hope she runs. Crony capitalist Rick Perry is a no-go for me, as is establishment RINO Mitt Romney. Whether or not Palin can show she's overcome her knowledge deficiencies (she's had a lot of time to study and she's smart enough to do it), she'll shake things up in a race that badly needs new blood. Maybe she'll even split the Perry vote and give Ron Paul an opening!
And my contempt for Slick Willie is fading as he turns over a new leaf.
The former president, known for his love of burgers, barbecue and junk food, has gone from a meat lover to a vegan, the strictest form of a vegetarian diet. He says he eats fruits, vegetables and beans, but no red meat, chicken or dairy.
Clinton, 65, who had quadruple bypass surgery in 2004 and then stent surgery in 2010, is following this eating plan to improve his heart health.
He talked about his plant-based diet last year, saying he lost 24 pounds on it for his daughter Chelsea's wedding, and he chatted about it again recently on TV, drawing national attention to the potential health benefits of this type of diet.
I bet he just did it for the PETA Girls. I hope along with meat he's given up raping women like Juanita Broaddrick as well.
For those considering a plant-based diet -- and even more so for those not yet considering a plant-based diet! -- please watch Forks Over Knives, which is chock full of evidence that both meat and dairy are major contributors to both heart disease and cancer.
Now, we learn more about Jacobson as he sits in jail and goes through preliminary court hearings.
[Investigators] do know that Jacobson was a man of big ambitions, who dealt in big numbers and was saddled with big bills.
Tuesday morning, a judge ordered that the 49-year-old remain in jail without bail. He was scruffy and unshaven, but, the judge decreed, not indigent.
A former mortgage broker from New Jersey, Jacobson had been dealing lately in projects that at one time promised a big payday, but perhaps not a paycheck all year, said former business partner Eric Dallas.
"In the hundreds of millions actually, things such as getting gold mines operational — things like that," said Dallas, speaking from Orlando.
Jacobson, he said, had been to China recently looking for investors.
A year back, the two had gotten a bank's backing for such an endeavor. But during the financial meltdown, the bank withdrew its commitment, Dallas said.
With the sources that fueled his big plans drying up, Jacobson was struggling to recover from his business losses, Dallas said. "His whole life was his kids and his wife," he said.
He and his wife, Franki Sue, owned their 5,000-square-foot home in Wellington and three condos in Palm Beach County.
They appear to hold mortgages totaling $1.3 million on three of those properties, according to county property records.
The one condo the couple owns outright has a lien on it from the homeowners association for non-payment of fees.
And the taxes on all four properties last year totalled about $17,000.
Neal Jacobson was listed at 11580 S. Sea Court, Wellington, FL which he appears to have bought in 2005 for $766,000. The house was sold this year (likely by the bank) for $425,000.
The median asking price for Palm Beach County condos is around $100,000 on craigslist.
Greenspan's Body Count remains at 185.
You see what happens, Sammy, when you downgrade America on Timmy's watch?
On the bright side, it looks like you don't miss too many meals in the re-education camp.
Yours truly was called out in a post at Econbrowser, one of the web's top economics sites.
My response from the comments:
You be the judge who got the better of the argument.
Definition of DEBASE
1: to lower in status, esteem, quality, or character
2a : to reduce the intrinsic value of (a coin) by increasing the base-metal content
b: to reduce the exchange value of (a monetary unit)
Now if one weren't a group-thinking modern macroeconomist, one might be able to imagine a time in Roman, French, British, or other history when the precious metal content of coins was reduced (i.e. "debased") but the prevailing economic conditions at the time were such that rapid consumer price inflation did not immediately occur. If one really wanted to exercise the old gray matter, one might imagine an equivalent thing happening today, with dollars increasing in quantity and decreasing in quality, with no significant concurrent price index increase.
I know it's very hard for modern economists to think outside of the rigid theoretical frameworks handed to them by their professors, but give it a try some time. You might learn something.
Secondly, despite your best efforts to find predictions of immediate hyperinflation on my blog, you found no such thing. What you found was a link to other discussion that our borrowing/spending ratio is in the danger range that Professor Peter Bernholz found is commonly a tipping point for economies. I maintain to this day that our serial 10% GDP deficits are extremely dangerous, but I do not predict near-term hyperinflation.
If you're going to wrongly attribute claims of immediate hyperinflation to me, would you at least do me the honor of giving me credit for the repeated calls to buy gold over the last six years? Those calls have been very successful long prior to gold's headlines in the popular media and despite there being no "inflation" by your definition.
Finally, no, I wasn't defending Rick Perry. He's a moron.
It's tragic that academia is no longer about the inquisitive pursuit of knowledge but the incurious, narrow-minded defense of doctrine. I pity the current crop of university students.
Long-time W.C. Varones readers will recall Menzie Chinn as the guy who lost a battle of wits against Sarah Palin.
My experience, purely anecdotal, is that the more rangers try to bring the nanny state to public lands, the more careless, and dependent, people become. There will always be steep cliffs, deep water, and ornery and unpredictable animals in that messy part of the national habitat not crossed by climate-controlled malls and processed-food emporiums. If people expect a grizzly bear to be benign, or think a glacier is just another variant of a theme park slide, it’s not the fault of the government when something goes fatally wrong.
Expect columnist Timothy Egan to be turfed at the NYT long before former Enron adviser Paul Krugman or totalitarian-China-sycophant Thomas Friedman.
Ron Paul knows his history, and he may be pondering just such a confiscation happening again.
This weekend's Barron's points out that while Ron Paul discloses holdings of gold mining stocks worth well over $1 million dollars, he claims no physical gold.
To our surprise, Paul's financial disclosures reveal no holdings of physical gold, gold coins, or gold equivalents like certain exchange-traded gold funds, which is confounding, given his strident advocacy of the metal as an insurance policy against the almost-certain debasement of the currency by politicians and central bankers. So we dug around a little. In his financial-disclosure form for the years 1994 through 2002, Paul reported holding "semi-numismatic" coins worth between $100,001 and $250,000. But from 2003 onward, they were never mentioned again.
Rachel Mills, the congressman's press spokesperson, said Paul, who generally is garrulous on the topic of hard money, did not wish to comment.
Did Washington's greatest goldbug really dump all his gold right before it paid off big time? Not bloody likely. When you're a goldbug like Ron Paul and me, they'll get your gold when they pry it from your cold, dead hands.
According to the 2010 guidelines by the House committee on Official Conduct, "Personal property, if held for investment or the production of income, must be disclosed if it meets the reporting thresholds. Collectibles can include, but are not limited to, works of art, vintage automobiles, stamps, jewelry, precious metals, rare coins, and books."
I suspect that Paul believes that disclosure doesn't apply to his gold. It's certainly not held for "the production of income," as it doesn't yield anything as we are so often told by smarty-pants gold-bashers. And "investment?" Webster's Dictionary defines "investment: the outlay of money usually for income or profit : capital outlay; also : the sum invested or the property purchased." You don't outlay money for gold for income or profit; you hold it as a store of wealth. Gold is money as Ron Paul himself has made Ben Bernanke look like a fool trying to deny.
Or perhaps he gave his gold to his children or grandchildren (though son Sen. Rand Paul's 2010 financial disclosure forms show no gold).
That Ron Paul sold his precious gold is the least likely of all these scenarios in my opinion. I think Paul fears another gold confiscation and doesn't want to be on record as having hundreds of thousands of dollars of gold for the government to come confiscate. And I don't blame him one bit.
My advice for acquiring gold? Always pay cash. And never disclose your gold on a government form.
These people cannot legally work here. So Obama wants to keep unemployable people here drawing welfare and food stamps and free health care and free schools.
I mean, it's not like the government's broke or anything, right?
I'm all for guest workers, but do it legally, and don't allow one unskilled agricultural or domestic worker to bring an entire family that will take tens of thousands of dollars in welfare, health care, and education services. Allow honest workers to apply for a permit to work here seasonally or year-round and send earnings back to their families back home. We cannot afford to provide tnes of thousands of dollars per family of first-class health care, education, and welfare in exchange for a little unskilled manual labor. We spend $30,000 per student for elementary education alone. No manual laborer's work can possibly justify that kind of tax expenditure.
More at Liberator Today.
I suppose he already has Orwell's 1984 and Vonnegut's Harrison Bergeron.
Zero interest rates and buying assets from the banks serves only to bail out Wall Street and create asset bubbles that benefit asset owners, but this doesn't get money to the broad mass of consumers. The misguided theory seems to be that if the banks are made healthy, they'll eventually start lending to the little people. But people don't need more debt. Too much debt is what got them here in the first place, and more debt will only make things worse. What people need is cash to pay down the debt. If Ben Bernanke really wanted to solve the problem, he'd stop giving money to the banks and follow through on his "helicopter drop" threat to get the money where it's needed, to the people. One mechanism would be a printing-financed tax refund: give everybody a refund of all the federal income taxes they've paid for the last three years. Cap the amount for the rich and give some to the non-taxpaying poor to get the money where it will help.
Well, obviously Zimbabwe Ben didn't listen to that advice last year, and he kept printing hundreds of billions to give to insolvent (and evil) banks.
But maybe it's not too late. How about printing up that $1 trillion I suggested and giving it back to the people as a tax refund for the last few years' taxes paid? If we could accomplish a 2-for-1 devaluation of the dollar, that would solve the problems of almost all underwater homeowners and almost all insolvent banks, as well as make the national debt much more manageable. To keep interest rates low, we'd have to regain credibility by going back on the gold standard, but we could do that at $4000, $5000, or even $10,000 an ounce.
It's been done before. The U.S. has a long history of going back and forth between fiat money and the gold standard. The past 40 years has been the longest stretch of a pure fiat currency, and it's not ending well. Let's put this sick puppy out of its misery.
Though the Left fantasizes itself the continuation of the hippie movement, the hippies were all about freedom, liberty, and self-determination... exactly the opposite of what the Left stands for today.
Hippie-turned-moderate-Democrat Mickey Kaus agrees:
Paul Krugman decries “hippie punching.” This is now an accepted way to mock almost any contemporary criticism of unabashed liberals. I was a hippie – hippie adjacent anyway. I knew hippies. Hippies were friends of mine. They hated liberals. That goes double for the ’60s New Left. Liberals were the enemy, and many of the New Left’s critiques (e.g. of Big Labor/Big Government corporatism, interest-group politics and anti-participatory bureaucracies) were very similar to today’s Tea Party critiques.
How do you think the hippies would have liked Obama bombing children in Libya, by the way?
Today's victim was already semi-famous from appearing on a reality show called "Real Housewives of Beverly Hills." The show is apparently a voyeuristic pleasure for people who want to see the train wreck lives of debt-ridden and plastic-surgery-riddled neurotics.
At the time of his death, Armstrong was more than $1.5 million in debt as a result of trying to keep up with expectations for the lavish lifestyle portrayed on the show, his lawyer told ABCNews.com.Greenspan's Body Count stands at 185.
President Barack Obama is considering recommending that lawmakers on a deficit committee back new measures to stimulate the lagging economy, people familiar with White House discussions said Tuesday.
These include extending unemployment-insurance benefits and a payroll-tax cut for employees, which expire at year end and together cost more than $160 billion a year, and an infrastructure bank that could cost as much as $30 billion. The White House is also looking at a payroll-tax cut for employers, worth perhaps as much as roughly $110 billion, and other tax breaks for businesses of as much as $55 billion.
Because Porkulus I, Cash-for-Clunkers, Cash-for-Caulkers, etc., all worked out so well!
How can we afford more stimulus when we are already running deficits of a Greece-beating 10% of GDP? Let's ask President Wimpy!
"I would gladly pay you in 2017 for a re-election-boosting stimulus today!"
Mr. Obama's recommendations could complicate the [deficit] committee's task because the stimulus measures, by increasing government spending and reducing revenue, would worsen the deficit in the short term. But Mr. Obama would recommend ways to offset those effects, and the whole package would still reduce the deficit over 10 years.
|The Daily Show With Jon Stewart||Mon - Thurs 11p / 10c|
|Indecision 2012 - Corn Polled Edition - Ron Paul & the Top Tier|
Watch it here if the embed doesn't work.
I sure hope so because the current field (excepting media outcasts Ron Paul and Gary Johnson) is thirty-odd feet of suck.
Either Ryan or Christie would be fantastic.
It's obscene that we allow these corrupt hacks in the media to rule out reformers like Ron Paul and Gary Johnson and support the status quo establishment crooks. And here the media admit that's exactly what they do.
It's a fair, point, I'd say, and one I'd noticed before. Doesn't marrying this guy make you (even more) suspicious of Michele Bachmann's judgment?
Maybe they just share a fondness for hot dogs.
Rick Perry's Crony Capitalism Problem
We don't need another George W. Bush
14 Reasons Rick Perry would be a really bad President
We all wanted a knight to ride in and save us from a weak GOP field. But Rick Perry ain't it. Among the declared candidates, my Tea Party friends are enthusiastic only about Ron Paul and Gary Johnson, and they are still not getting their due in the media.
Here's Clinton appointee Stanley Marcus' dissent on the ObamaCare individual mandate.
Circuit Judge Stanley Marcus dissented in the Georgia federal appeals court. He called the views of the states and the two other judges approaching the case “wooden, formalistic, and myopic.” Marcus wrote that Congress has long regulated health insurance and regulated parts of the system, including prescription drugs and the cost of health care through setting Medicare prices.
“The majority has ignored many years of Commerce Clause doctrine developed by the Supreme Court,” Marcus wrote.
Translation: We've been pissing on the Constitution so long that it no longer means anything at all, and Congress can do absolutely anything it wants.
If that argument wins, we are no longer a Constitutional republic but a winner-takes-all totalitarian farce of a democracy.
Photo credit: Uncle Meat
SACRAMENTO – State Controller John Chiang today released his monthly report covering California's cash balance, receipts and disbursements in July, showing revenues were down $538.8 million (-10.3 percent) below projections from the recently passed state budget.In short, the Democrats' recent budget was complete hopium and relied on a miraculous economic rebound dropping magic revenues from the sky. Today's Dirty Fed announcement pours some cold water on that one.
"While July's revenues performed remarkably similar to last year's, they still did not meet the budget's projections," said Chiang. "While we hope for better news in the months ahead, every drop in revenues puts us closer to the drastic trigger cuts that could be imposed next year."
Income taxes were above projections by $89 million (2.9 percent) in July. But sales taxes were down $139.4 million (-12.5 percent), and corporate taxes were down $69.5 million (-19.3 percent) in the same month.
The State faced an $11.1 billion cash deficit on July 31. That deficit was covered by internal borrowing, or short-term loans from special funds, along with external borrowing.
For more details, read July 2011's financial statement and summary analysis.
And now that you understand California's fiscal situation, let me give you a micro view, the tale of one young entrepreneur who hoped to buy a house in a lovely beach town, run her business, employ a few people, and contribute to California's economy.
Meet Erica Douglass. I first met Erica a couple years ago in the comments at bubbleinfo.com, where she was waiting for home prices to drop to more reasonable levels in the beach areas of northern San Diego County. Today, it's a different story. Dear California, I'm leaving you. Here's why:
Examples of the Crap California’s Government has Put Me Through
Okay, you want examples. Here are a few things I’ve had to deal with:
1. The State of California arbitrarily decided that all businesses that gross over $100,000/year should have an account where you have to report quarterly on the sales tax your customers pay you for goods sold. The only problem? My company only sold services–not products–which aren’t taxed in California. When I closed the account (by going into a local office and spending nearly an hour explaining my situation), they forced it open again and sent me a nastygram explaining that I would owe fines for not filing the quarterly report. You have to file it 4 times a year, and it takes time to fill out, even if you haven’t sold any products and owe the state nothing.
2. The state charges an income tax of 10% on all income over $47,055. This is in addition to the Federal income tax of 25% on income over $34,001. This is also in addition to an 8.25-9.25% sales tax (depending on where you buy products.) I paid enough in income tax for 2010 to the state of California alone to hire another new worker for my business. I’d bet a lot of money that I’m far more efficient at creating jobs as a small business owner than the state is given the same amount of money. I’d rather have that money to hire someone.
3. And a really dumb law for small business owners, which Meg Whitman promised to repeal: An annual fee of $800 just to have a corporation in the state of California. (Most states don’t charge you, or only charge you a few dollars, as an annual fee to set up a business. California’s is exorbitant, and it applies as long as you, the primary officer of the corporation, live in California…no matter where you incorporate.)
The final straw, as I suspected, was the Amazon tax, which will raise precisely $0 in revenue while driving hundreds or thousands of businesses out of state. I also suspect that California's high cost of living and outrageous real estate prices have played a role. But this sharp young millionaire entrepreneur, like thousands before her, will be headed somewhere businesspeople are appreciated: Texas.
Dirty Fed: This economy is going to suck so hard we're going to have to keep giving the banks free money until mid-2013
The Federal Reserve pledged for the first time to keep its benchmark interest rate at a record low at least through mid-2013 in a bid to revive the flagging recovery after a worldwide stock rout.
The Federal Open Market Committee discussed a range of policy tools to bolster the economy and said it is “prepared to employ these tools as appropriate,” it said in a statement today in Washington. Three members of the FOMC dissented, preferring to maintain the pledge to keep rates low for an “extended period.”
The decision represents the biggest effort since November to spark the U.S. economy and revive confidence while stopping short of initiating a third round of large-scale asset purchases. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues acted after reports showed the economy was slowing and an unprecedented downgrade to the U.S. credit rating sent stocks tumbling from Sydney to New York.
The Fed offered a dimmer view of the economy than it did in the last statement in late June. “Economic growth so far this year has been considerably slower than the committee had expected,” it said. The Fed also said it expects a “somewhat slower pace of recovery over coming quarters,” adding that “downside risks to the economic outlook have increased.”
Devaluation: you're doing it wrong!
But when he finally rolled into the office around 2pm on Monday, Obama proposed to make the debt crisis even worse by extending the payroll tax cut. That's the tax that funds the already underfunded Social Security program.
Why stop funding Social Security? Because the extra 2% in people's paychecks will make them feel better now even if we are just stealing it from the future. And feeling a little better now might help get Obama re-elected.
47% of Americans pay no federal income tax already. These freeloading deadbeats are a big part of Obama's base. Now he wants to give them Social Security without paying for it too.
No one here in San Diego, across the country, or elsewhere in the world, who has been closely following the news, is surprised that S&P downgraded this nation’s credit rating from AAA to AA+. The simple, bitter truth is that the United States of America spends money it doesn’t have. And S&P formally stated what the taxpayers of this nation have been saying loudly these past three years — you can’t spend us back to solvency.
The Tea Party was started in 2009 out of the growing frustration that our representatives in Washington DC were more interested in reelection instead of representation. The Republican Party had abandoned its fiscally conservative roots, approving more entitlement programs and agreeing to continue baseline budgeting that automatically increases spending levels. The Democrats, especially when they gained control of both Houses in 2007, dramatically escalated spending while rewarding their base constituencies. President Obama has seen fit to promote his vision of wealth distribution as he demonizes this country’s wealth producers and uses his regulatory agencies to harm our businesses. All of them stopped representing the average tax paying American. TARP, Stimulus, Cash-for-Clunkers, and Obamacare are prime examples of bi-partisan betrayal that set America firmly on the road to fiscal disaster.
This week’s bi-partisan Debt Ceiling deal was a bitter reminder that establishment GOP have learned nothing from the Tea Party uprising and the demands of the taxpayers for a more responsible government. It also shows that the Democratic Party will resort to vigorous hyperbole, fear-mongering rhetoric, and crass class-warfare tactics to undermine any call for serious entitlement reform. We applaud those who voted against the measure (including local representatives Duncan Hunter and Bob Filner), and we are ashamed of those who supported supposed ‘spending cuts’ that amounted to less than a day of Washington’s spending.
Exactly right. And it's not just Tea Partiers who are seeing through the budget B.S. Despite the deceptive way the media portray our spending and debt levels as necessary and sustainable, people across America can plainly see that they are neither.
Tonight, Timmy the Tax Cheat Geithner joins Bernanke in the Idiots or Liars Club. As recently as April, Timmy said there was "no risk" the U.S. would lose its AAA credit rating. How's that working out for you now, Timmy?
But when cops go bad, it's important to bring them to justice even more so than ordinary bad guys, because they operate under the color of authority. And the beating death of defenseless, unarmed homeless guy Kelly Thomas appears to be such a case.
It speaks poorly of police unions and police rank-and-file that they tend to rally to the defense of bad cops rather than admit that there are some bad apples and evaluate each case on the facts.
More on the Kelly Thomas beating death here and here. More on Jay Cicinelli here.
The beating was recorded on police security camera video, but the city refuses to release it. An onlooker recorder this video, where you can't see much but can hear public shocked reaction to the overwhelming force as well as the pleas of the dying man, "Dad! Dad! Dad!" The city has not suspended, even pending investigation, any of the officers involved.
Tea Partiers denounce the bad apples among them. Why won't cops do the same? Is there a Blue Code of Silence?
Well, here it is with a vengeance. The Swiss Franc, long known as a rock solid, safe haven currency, just went Full Bernanke. Goldman Sachs elaborates via Zero Hedge.
In reaction to the sharp appreciation of the CHF over the past couple of weeks, the SNB announced a rate cut this morning, reducing its 3-month CHF Libor target to 0.00-0.25%, from 0.00-0.75% previously. Given that the SNB was targeting 0.25% within the old range - and 3-month rates were actually below that target – this change in target should be seen mostly as symbolic. However, it also shows that the risks to the monetary policy outlook have shifted significantly and our rate forecast is under review.
The SNB also announced that it would increase the supply of liquidity to banks by raising banks’ sight deposits at the SNB from around CHF30bn to CHF80bn. The idea behind this measure seems to be that, by increasing the liquidity available to banks, some of that liquidity will flow into Euro-denominated assets, thereby reducing the pressure on the CHF. Put differently, the SNB is aiming at the exchange rate channel in this latest ‘quantitative easing’ exercise.
Well, at the same time they were patting themselves on the back, the stock market was tanking. Tonight, markets around the world are dropping as well. The markets seem to share my view that the problem is the debt, not the debt ceiling, and the Republicans just threw away the only leverage they had to move the country toward a sustainable fiscal path and preserve the AAA credit rating.
Gold went nuts, by the way, up $40 to $1660 in the biggest one-day move I can remember. The markets realize that gold is one thing Bernanke can't print, Obama can't spend, and Boner can't surrender.
Boner needs to be primaried if the cowards in Congress won't remove him as Speaker.
* Nothing in the Congressional compromise reached over the weekend makes a significant dent in our $1.5 trillion deficit.
* In addition to an existing nearly $10 trillion of outstanding Treasury debt, the U.S. has a near unfathomable $66 trillion of future liabilities at “net present cost.”
* Aside from outright default, there are numerous ways a government can reduce its future liabilities. They include balancing the budget, unexpected inflation, currency depreciation and financial repression.
And Gross's investment advice will sound familiar to readers of these pages:
Favor countries with cleaner “dirty shirts” and higher real interest rates: Canada, Mexico, Brazil and Germany come to mind. Shade equity and fixed income investments away from dollar based indexes towards those of developing nations with stronger growth prospects. Purchase commodity based real assets before reserve surplus nations do. And above all, don’t be lulled to sleep by Congressional law makers that promise a change in Washington. The last change I believed in was on Election Day 2008, and that turned out to be more fiction than reality.
Click on over and read the whole thing. And don't you ever buy a Treasury backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.
Syria’s army pressed its crackdown on Hama as thousands took to the streets of Damascus and other cities to protest the killing of more than 140 people by President Bashar al-Assad’s security forces.
On the first day of Ramadan, the Muslim holy month, artillery pounded parts of Hama, destroying four buildings, Mahmoud Merhi, head of the Damascus-based Arab Organization for Human Rights, said in a telephone interview.
Nevertheless, Tea Party Patriots spokesman Mark Meckler (a great guy whom I've met) gives Der Spiegel a really good interview despite some really ignorant questions.