I've been watching the flip-flopping French polls on the E.U. Constitution referendum. Now, it looks like the French are leaning towards "no."
The Constitution was probably dead anyway, as the Brits and/or others would have voted no, so the most significant result of a French "no" is Tony Blair's avoidance of a major embarassment.
Blair, usually an astute politician and a good man, stupidly lashed himself to the mast of the E.U. Constitution Titanic. He faced a humiliating rejection at the polls that could have seriously boosted a leadership challenge from within his already agitated Labour Party. If the French vote "no," Blair will have dodged a bullet -- and his chances of serving a full term will increase dramatically.
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