Maybe teaching racial division and hatred wasn't such a good idea after all

Doctor cycling in California run down, stabbed by driver screaming about ‘white privilege’:

A doctor cycling along the Pacific Coast Highway in California was mowed down by a driver who then got out of his vehicle and stabbed the cyclist to death while screaming ‘white privilege’ slurs.

Dr. Michael Mammone, 58, of Laguna Beach, was on his bike in Dana Point when he was struck by the driver of a white Lexus.

The driver allegedly sped through a red light at an intersection before running over Mammone on Wednesday afternoon, KABC reported.

He then jumped out of his vehicle and stabbed the victim multiple times in the back before bystanders tackled him to stop the attack.

Mmmkay....

President who usurped Congressional spending authority to issue an executive order handing out hundreds of billions of dollars right before an election will lecture nation on "threats to democracy."

Seems legit

WSJ:

Calpers’ stock portfolio returned minus 13.1%, while bonds returned minus 14.5%, the pension fund said. Those losses delivered a double blow for retirement funds and other savers who have long relied on those two assets to move in opposite directions.

Private equity and real estate returned 21.3% and 24.1%, respectively.

It's a CalPERS miracle! 

Everything with observable market prices went down, but everything CalPERS values subjectively went up! By double digits!

Quotations from Chairman Varones

 Inflation is progressive utopians encountering resource constraints for the first time.

Taxable brokerage vs. traditional 401(k) account

The common wisdom says pre-tax 401(k)s and IRAs beat taxable accounts hands-down. But it's not so clear to me. If you put buy-and-hold stocks or index funds in a taxable brokerage account, it's actually remarkably tax-efficient because of the ability to defer capital gains, and the preferable tax rates on dividends and capital gains.

Here's a spreadsheet where you can play with the assumptions (you'll have to make a copy for  yourself to edit): link. 

Yes, traditional beats taxable in simplified base case, but this ignores:

• tax loss harvesting 
• HIFO withdrawals 
• foreign tax credits
• higher potential future tax rates

With the federal government running perpetual deficits of 3% - 5% of GDP, is it really out of the question that tax rates on wealthy retirees could hit 37%? That's about the point where taxable beats pre-tax even before considering HIFO and tax loss harvesting.

AOC has Covid

Anybody else think horse paste might be worth a try?

CDC reached completely unsupported conclusion to downplay natural immunity, support mandates

The CDC announced a study showing that "vaccination offers higher protection than previous COVID-19 infection." 

The study shows no such thing. In fact, the data considered in the study aren't sufficient to even attempt to make such a conclusion. 

The media gleefully and unquestioningly repeated the CDC's nonsense.

In case I get banned from Twitter for questioning "The Science," here are the tweets:

Bottom line: you can't possibly infer the efficacy of either the vaccine or natural immunity from the ratios of positive to negative tests in two narrowly selected groups that bear no resemblance to each other or the general population. Any high school statistics teacher could tell you that.

For example, the vaccinated people skew much older than the recovered in this study. If, as seems obvious, older people tend to go to the hospital more with non-Covid respiratory illnesses than young people do, that would explain this data. Yet the CDC insists this says something about Covid natural immunity instead.

Or if some people went to the hospital due to side effects from the vaccine. "See," the CDC claims, "that improves the ratio and proves vaccines are better than natural immunity!"

Others have pointed out that the 90-179 day post-vaccination window seems cherry-picked to maximize favorable outcomes for the vaccine, as the Israeli and other studies have shown vaccine efficacy drops off significantly after that period. And others have pointed out the tiny sample size of recovered people who were hospitalized and tested positive (i.e. it's both extremely rare for natural immunity to fail, and it's bad science to try to draw conclusions!). And Thomas Massie points out that they are counting “long Covid” as re-infections which might very well explain most of the cases in the study!

This is obviously a politically ordered result to support Biden's vaccine mandate push. The fact that they couldn't come up with a supportable conclusion is telling.

UPDATE 1/20/22: The CDC now admits the exact opposite of its absurd claim.